Manager of Business Analysis (Valuations & Forecasting) Job at Koalafi, Arlington, VA

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  • Koalafi
  • Arlington, VA

Job Description

Job Description

Job Description

At Koalafi, we believe in a world where no one has to put an important purchase on hold. That's why we're making it easier for more people to pay for big purchases over time.

Retailers across the country rely on us to offer flexible lease-to-own financing to their non-prime consumers, while increasing sales and strengthening customer loyalty. Their 2M+ customers love us because we provide a flexible way for them to make payments and give them an opportunity to improve their credit. Our 200+ Koalafi teammates enjoy inspiring and challenging work that accelerates their careers.

Interested in learning more about how we're transforming the financing experience and joining our team?

What You'll Do

We're seeking a hands-on and analytically strong Valuations and Forecasting Lead to develop and manage our lease portfolio valuations and forecasting frameworks. This role will directly support strategic decision-making by providing robust predictions of future portfolio performance. Your work will inform credit policy management, pricing, financial planning, capital management, and long-term strategy.

You'll work cross-functionally with our Finance, Capital Markets, and Data Science teams to ensure alignment with the broader corporate financial model. We're looking for someone excited to roll up their sleeves—building models, owning the codebase, interpreting results, and delivering insight. In this role you will:

  • Build, own, and maintain a portfolio valuations model to estimate lease lifetime value.
  • Quantify the impact of pricing, underwriting, and credit policy decisions on key valuation drivers such as delinquencies, prepayments, and early buyouts.
  • Develop a forecasting model to estimate KPIs such as payments, cash flows, and charge-offs under multiple economic and business scenarios.
  • Lead loss forecasting efforts by designing models that reflect the dynamic effects of macro conditions, credit mix, and business strategy.
  • Develop scenario analyses to support strategic planning, stress testing, and capital adequacy assessments.
  • Partner closely with Finance to ensure the valuation model supports planning and budgeting processes.
  • Deliver clear presentations and insights to senior stakeholders, including risk, finance, and executive leadership.
  • Drive continuous improvement of the model's accuracy, usability, and alignment with evolving business needs.

About You (Qualifications)

  • 4-8 years of experience in credit risk modeling, valuation, forecasting, or related financial analytics—ideally in consumer lending or lease-to-own finance.
  • Bachelor's degree required, in a quantitative field such as Statistics, Mathematics, Economics, Business, or Engineering preferred
  • Strong foundation in finance (e.g., forecasting, NPV analysis, capital planning, or asset-backed lending concepts).
  • Advanced proficiency in SQL for querying and preparing structured datasets.
  • Deep understanding of forecasting techniques and model development best practices.
  • Exceptional attention to detail, intellectual curiosity, and a passion for building practical, business-aligned solutions.
  • Excellent verbal and written communication skills.
  • Comfortable operating in a fast-paced, dynamic startup environment with a bias for action.
  • Location Requirement: This position requires regular in-person attendance at one of our two office locations (Richmond, VA or Arlington, VA). Candidates must already be located within a commutable distance to either location, as relocation assistance is not available at this time.

Bonus Points For

  • Familiarity with lease to own products.
  • Experience with Python.
  • Understanding of portfolio risk modeling or credit loss estimation.
  • Exposure to corporate financial planning and integration of operational models with FP&A workflows.

Why choose Koalafi: A career at Koalafi means opportunities to tackle exciting challenges every single day. We take pride in a culture of innovation, trust, and ownership. You'll get outside your comfort zone, build meaningful relationships, and most of all, take charge of projects that ultimately help people get the things they need most.

Benefits:

At Koalafi, you will have a direct impact on our products and help shape the company's success. We offer competitive compensation & benefits packages to keep you at your best:

  • Comprehensive medical, dental, and vision coverage
  • 20 PTO days + 11 paid holidays
  • 401(k) retirement with company matching
  • Student Loan & Tuition Reimbursement
  • Commuter assistance
  • Parental leave (maternal + paternal)
  • Inclusion and Associate Engagement Programs

Who we are & what we value:

  • We focus on what's most important
  • We set clear expectations and deliver
  • We embrace challenges to reach our full potential
  • We ask, "How can this be better?"
  • We move fast together

Job Tags

Work at office, Relocation package, Flexible hours,

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